Category Archives: Iran

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Digby has much more information about the US and Iran than I found in my newspaper.

Posted in Iran | 2 Comments

We’re In Trouble

We’re in big trouble.

Have a look at The Washington Note, whose latest begins like this:

Washington intelligence, military and foreign policy circles are abuzz today with speculation that the President, yesterday or in recent days, sent a secret Executive Order to the Secretary of Defense and to the Director of the CIA to launch military operations against Syria and Iran.

The President may have started a new secret, informal war against Syria and Iran without the consent of Congress or any broad discussion with the country.

If this is true, we’re in very big trouble. Or, if the rumor was sparked by an order ‘only’ authorizing clandestine operations (or, worse, bombardment) as a form of provocation, this is serious stuff. But even if it’s not at all true in any way, we’re in pretty big trouble, as the spread of this rumor means we’ve reached a point in our politics when sober, quite moderate, people like Steve Clemons are starting at shadows.

I can only remember one time that felt like this: when Nixon was in the last weeks of his Presidency, and people — including the then-Secretary of Defense– got worried that Nixon might try to start a war to distract the country from his troubles, or even stage some sort of coup. People in DC even began to speculate as to what military forces could be assembled as a counterweight in the event that Nixon, rumored to be drunk and unstable, chose to subvert the Constitution.

According to reports published after Nixon resigned, Defense Secretary James Schlesinger even went as far to tell some of the highest-ranking military officers to inform him if any ‘extraordinary orders’ went out from the White House and to refrain from carrying out any orders which came from the White House outside the normal military channels. (An action, incidentally, of dubious formal legality on the part of both James Schlesinger and his generals.)

Those were not good times.

Any time there is serious speculation by ordinarily sober people that the President has launched a secret war against one — or two! — countries, well, those are not good times either.

I think this is true whoever you think is at fault — the administration for being Hell-bent for lunacy, or the DC Democrats (or if you prefer the DC Establishment), for being a bunch of strategic cowards. Whenever the level of trust within the governing class has so broken down, we are in for hard times indeed.

And if, as Clemons’s article suggests, the White House is launching a new secret war (or two), then we’re far worse off than we were in 1974, for who in the modern White House would cast him or herself as our modern James Schlesinger?

Posted in Iran, Law: Constitutional Law | 71 Comments

US Conducts Provocation Against Iran

U.S. Forces Raid Iranian Consulate in Iraq, Detain 5 (Update2)

U.S. forces in Iraq raided Iran’s consulate in the northern city of Arbil and detained five staff members, a state-run Iranian news service said.

The U.S. soldiers disarmed guards and broke open the consulate’s gate before seizing documents and computers during the operation, which took place today at about 5 a.m. local time, the Islamic Republic News Agency said. There was no immediate information on whether any of those detained are diplomats.

Was this a premeditated and intentional provocation? I’d bet yes. We’ll know I’m wrong and that it wasn’t if the US releases the diplomats and issues a full apology in the next very few hours. Any longer than that and they did it on purpose.

Recall, in this context, how the US felt when Iranian students, supported by their government, seized the US embassy in Tehran…

Update: The first US statement is encouraging. It is not bellicose:

U.S. forces detained six Iranian officials for questioning in the northern Iraqi city of Irbil, seat of the Kurdish regional government, an American official said Thursday.

But the official disputes accounts from Iran that the troops broke open a consulate gate and conducted a raid.

“No shots were fired. No altercation ensued,” the U.S. official. “It was a knock on the door and ‘Please come out.’ “

Iran’s government-run Islamic Republic News Agency reported five people were detained and said U.S. forces disarmed guards, broke open the consulate gate and confiscated computers and documents.

The U.S. official asserted the Iranians were not inside an officially designated diplomatic consulate or embassylike building.

Iraqi state-run TV network Al-Iraqiya identified the site as an Iranian consulate, but the Iraqi Foreign Ministry described the building as a “diplomatic representation.”

The U.S. official would not identify the Iranian officials or say why they were being questioned.

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Why Put an Admiral at CENTCOM?

CENTCOM has traditionally been a ground soldier’s job. Why give it to an admiral? Especially as there are two ground wars (Iraq and Afghanistan) going on in its theater of responsibility.

Here’s one worrying theory —

Pen and Sword: Navy Admiral Goes to CENTCOM: Be Very Afraid. It seems highly unusual for a navy admiral to take charge of CENTCOM until you consider two interrelated things. First is that Bush needs a senior four-star in the CENTCOM job who hasn’t gone on record as opposing additional troops in Iraq. Second is that Fallon’s CENTCOM area of responsibility will include Iran.

A conflict with Iran would be a naval and air operation. Fallon is a naval flight officer. He flew combat missions in Vietnam, commanded an A-6 Intruder squadron, a carrier air wing and an aircraft carrier. As a three-star, he commanded Second Fleet and Strike Force Atlantic. He presently heads U.S. Pacific Command. His resume also includes duty in numerous joint and Navy staff billets, including Deputy Director for Operations with Joint Task Force Southwest Asia in Riyahd, Saudi Arabia.

If anybody knows how to run a maritime and air operation against Iran, it’s “Fox” Fallon.

Meanwhile, Military commanders have apparently told President Bush that only 9,000 troops are available for escalation, with an additional 10,000 soldiers who would be “on alert in Kuwait and the U.S.”

Posted in Iran, Iraq | 1 Comment

Eric Muller Writes a Letter

Eric Muller writes An Open Letter to the Members of the Institute for Political and International Studies of the Foreign Ministry of Iran.

Today’s must-read.

Posted in Iran | 4 Comments

This Bunch Doesn’t Rattle Sabers: They Just Club Folks With Them

War Signals:

The Nation has learned that the Bush Administration and the Pentagon have issued orders for a major “strike group” of ships, including the nuclear aircraft carrier Eisenhower as well as a cruiser, destroyer, frigate, submarine escort and supply ship, to head for the Persian Gulf, just off Iran’s western coast.

According to the article, the deployment is ahead of the normal rotation for the carrier group.

The fact that an attack on Iran would be military and diplo-political stupidity of a positively supernatural order must not be allowed to obscure the effects of the near-total reality distortion field now centered at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave and the boyish delights that can be taken in a Rovian October Surprise.

The only thing that gives me hope this is all a bad joke is that The Nation quotes the Navy’s spokesperson, our old friend Lt. Kafka, now apparently no longer working at Guantanamo but serving up news from Norfolk.

Posted in Iran | 3 Comments