Category Archives: Econ & Money

Why Bitcoin Isn’t As Exciting as it May Sound

A surprising number of people, including reporters, have been asking me what I think of Bitcoin.  My reaction is to be somewhat underwhelmed, for all of its technical inventiveness.   The best single account I’ve seen of why to be cautious is in this account by John Levine, Bitcoin and tulip bulbs.

As I wrote recently in reply to a Polish journalist’s emailed inquiry:

I am somewhat skeptical for three sets of reasons.

First – A coin that fluctuates in value is an investment, perhaps, but not a reliable store of value.

Second – There is a very limited number of things you can do with a Bitcoin at present.  Projects like this first suffer from and then — occasionally — benefit from network effects.

Third – Although I have not studied the protocol carefully, I’m worried that an attacker with the services of a large botnet might be able to dominate the system of authentication.

Posted in Cryptography, Econ & Money | 7 Comments

Something to Chew on While I’m Away

10 Inconvenient Truths About the Debt Ceiling — Crooks and Liars

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Kevin Drum: Unemployment Falls Off the Radar

Chart of the day — major newspapers barely mention unemployment any more.

In each of our five biggest newspapers, in the entire newspaper, there are now two mentions of unemployment per week. So that’s that. Nobody cares anymore. Politicians don’t talk about unemployment and the press doesn’t report about it. If you’re out of work — and 9% of the country still is — you’re on your own.

Posted in Econ & Money, The Media | Comments Off on Kevin Drum: Unemployment Falls Off the Radar

Notes from the Class War

9 Things The Rich Don’t Want You To Know About Taxes

1. Poor Americans do pay taxes.
2. The wealthiest Americans don’t carry the burden.
3. In fact, the wealthy are paying less taxes.
4. Many of the very richest pay no current income taxes at all.
5. And (surprise!) since Reagan, only the wealthy have gained significant income.
6. When it comes to corporations, the story is much the same—less taxes.
7. Some corporate tax breaks destroy jobs.
8. Republicans like taxes too.
9. Other countries do it better.

See the article for details.

Posted in Econ & Money, Politics: US | Comments Off on Notes from the Class War

Today’s Second Robocall (21240715129)

Minutes after today’s first robocall, I got a different robocall on my cell phone.  It was one of those scam ‘reminder that you received an official notice of an opportunity to reduce the interest on your credit card bills’.  Time, the generic recorded voice warned, is about to run out on this great opportunity.

Of course, I never got any such offer, they don’t actually mail them, they are trying to fleece you.  But I pushed the button to talk to a person anyway, just because.  It rang and rang and rang.  And rang and rang.  And the sound was like an old-time rotary phone.  But eventally a woman with an odd accent that I couldn’t place picked up.

Was I was responding to the offer to consolodate my Mastercard or Visa?  I said yes.

Did I have more than $5,000 of credit card debt? I said I liked to know who I was talking to.  She hung up instantly.

The caller ID says the call came from 21240715129, which is no doubt designed to look like it came from a New York area code.  But in fact, given the extra digit, I have to presume it actually came from Marrakech, Morocco, from +212 (4) 071-5129.  But not having free worldwide calling, I haven’t tried to confirm that.

I did try Googling the number, but no luck.  So I’m posting this.  If they called you, I think you are safe assuming it is a scam: no one honest trying to sell you something hangs up if you ask who they are.

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Time for an AMT for Big Corporations?

GE pays no US taxes. Do we need an Alternate Minimum Tax for corporations?

Individuals often use tax-avoidance strategies to reduce their personal income taxes. Concerned that all the loopholes were eroding revenue collection, Congress enacted the Alternate Minimum Tax, which is supposed to be a floor on the amount that people would have to pay.

Wikipedia, which I recognize is probably not the ideal source for this, summarizes the AMT as follows:

AMT is computed at 26% or 28% for individuals and 20% for corporations on taxable income as adjusted for AMT. Taxpayers are allowed a flat exemption amount but not personal exemptions or the standard deduction. The exemption for 2010 is $72,450 for married couples filing jointly or a qualified widower, $36,225 for married individuals filing separately, $47,450 for single individuals, and $40,000 for corporations, and is phased out at higher incomes. Individuals may not deduct taxes or miscellaneous itemized deductions, depreciation deductions are computed using longer lives and slower methods, other adjustments apply. The AMT rate for capital gains and qualified dividends currently is the same as the regular tax rate for such items. A foreign tax credit and eight other business credits are allowed to reduce AMT.

GE makes a lot of money, much of it in the US, but structures its business to escape corporate tax. Why not have a rule similar to the personal AMT for very large corporations, say those with revenue over $500 million or $1 billion to start? Or perhaps with profits — if we could define that term much more rigorously than used in the current tax code — over some suitably large number.

I recognize that the personal AMT has critics, some making legitimate points. AMT is not indexed, so the bite goes deeper into the upper middle class every year (I could see that as a bug or a feature). AMT reduces the economic effects of various deductions which are supposed to give incentives for activities we claim to want to encourage. That’s true, but the idea is that allowing too much tax avoidance is a worse evil.

Some legitimate criticisms of the personal AMT wouldn’t apply to a corporate AMT. For example, the AMT undermines the effect of the child tax deduction and hurts taxpayers living in high-tax state since they are worse off from not getting to deduct their state taxes. Those won’t I think be issues for big corporations which just have subsidiaries instead of children, and tend to be present in all states.

A rule taxing gross sales rather than net profits has the advantage of being harder to game, but also runs into the problem that there are some corporations with huge turnover but also huge losses. A rule that taxed actual profits runs into the problem that giant firms like GE already use accounting games to make their profits appear to happen in low-tax foreign jurisdictions. These are not easy problems to solve, but isn’t it is time to address them?

The personal AMT notoriously doesn’t consider the effect of foreign taxes. I don’t know how that would or should work for a corporate AMT, especially given existing tax treaties. If the tax is on domestic sales, that may not be as much of an issue. If the tax is profits, domestic or world-wide, the foreign tax issue will matter.

Tax law is far from one of my strong suits, so I invite instruction on that and all the other points above.

Posted in Econ & Money | 3 Comments