Author Archives: Michael Froomkin

Blog Debug Safari

[Update: I believe this is fixed now, thanks to Matt.]

Something upset rendering on Safari (the Mac browser) yesterday. In response I rolled back just about everything I could think of, except the Kerry-Edwards button in the left column, which I just can't believe is the source of the problem.

As a temporary measure, I'm also only putting one day's worth of comments on the 'front page'. Yesterday's interesting blog posts can be found here.

If you are a Safari user, please let me know if this page is now displaying properly.

Posted in Discourse.net | 6 Comments

This Explains EVERYTHING

Indiana University study: having children significantly lowers parents' IQs.

Update: Alas, it's a spoof.

Posted in Personal | 5 Comments

Robert’s Thoughts Are Not Random At All

Robert Waldman — who deserves more readers! — has a nice post on The CBS Memos.

Robert's random thoughts: The debate about whether the alleged Killian memos are forgeries has its delights. Every geek dreams of the day in which fonts, superscripts, proportional spacing and kerning make the front page of the New York Times and the Washington Post. Well not quite every geek. I consider myself a geek and I just learned what kerning is. Also the thought of total humiliation of George W Bush, Dan Rather or (most likely) both, must delight all right thinking people.

the alleged memos are not the first documents which suggest that Bush disobeyed a direct order. Back on St Valentime's day, Mark Kleiman noted that The Democratic Veteran linked to the order grounding Bush and James R Bath (you know Bush's link to the Bin Laden family) as posted by Martin at coldfeet@cis.net who I believe is a hero farmer in Iowa.

This order from the General Francis Greenlief (chief natinal guard bureau) grounds Bush and orders “Off will comply with para 2-10 AFM, 35-13.” This is an order from a major general. It is written in militareese. What exactly does para 2-10 AFM, 35-13 require ? The most reasonable guess is that it is an order to take a flight physical. This would mean that there is uncontested proof that Bush disobeyed a direct order. However, no one has replied to Kleiman's request for a 1972 Air Force Manual, so we don't know. The manual must be an archived document, so it seems to me that it would make more sense to look it up than to argue about kerns and superscripts.

Posted in Politics: US: GW Bush Scandals | 2 Comments

Economists Will Soon Have a ‘Voice’

Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal: A Weblog: Preview: The Economists' Voice: A Manifesto

Economists are losing the battle for mindshare in public debates and discussions about the economy. Too much of what we economists write meets the technical canons of modern economics, but reaches a very small audience (if it reaches any audience at all). Too much of the rest of what we write is murdered by being forced into the Procrustean bed of the 700-word op-ed: a space too small to make any but the most pathetic and oversimplified excuse for an argument. The result is that public understanding of the economy is abysmal, and the intellectual level of the public debate is far too low. We economists all can, no doubt, think of a dozen examples in the past month of hideous errors in the public perception of the economy and hideous mistakes made in good faith (i.e., not by lobbyists) about the effects of public policies. (And, because we are all economists, we economists at least would all largely agree on at least 80% of what are hideous mistakes.)

We—that is, Joe Stiglitz, Aaron Edlin, and I—aim to start an online publication, The Economists' Voice, to be “published” by Berkeley Economic Press, to try to remedy this situation. The two youngest of us are confident that we have a very good chance of succeeding. Our confidence is based on one fact: Joe Stiglitz thinks that this will work, and his judgment in this area is very good, as is shown by the remarkable success of the Journal of Economic Perspectives which has greatly increased the flow of information across the subfields of economics, and done a remarkable job of welding the American Economic Association into a stronger intellectual community.

The Economists' Voice will aim for pieces longer than an op-ed and shorter than (and much more readable than) a piece for a standard journal. We thus avoid the op-ed problem—the problem that op-ed space is too short for an argument, and only provides space to be shrill. But we also hope to stay short enough to be readable, and understandable. And we will aim for quick turnaround—days rather than the years of journals.

The level will be non-technical but sophisticated: perhaps what one expects to read in the Financial Times and the news pages of the Wall Street or National Journal, or perhaps a notch above. The aim will be to provide an economist's argument and point of view on some salient and interesting issue: a survey of something interesting happening in the economy, or a call for some change in policy or institutions—which would consist of a review of what the principal important factors are, what the objective function is, what the constraints are, why the objective function is maximized at the particular set of policies or institutional arrangements that the author prefers.

We will launch the The Economists' Voice later this year. We will succeed if we become the place on the internet where economists, journalists, interested observers, staffers, and others turn in search of high-quality comprehensible economic analysis.

The best title for this item would be

A) Dismal Science Tries to Jazz It Up

B) Economists Launch Highbrow Popular Online Journal

C) 'Economists' Voice' Seeks to be 'Masters' Voice' for Chattering Class

D) Man, I'd Like To Work With Stiglitz

E) Oh no, One More Thing I Won't Want to Miss

F) Where Does Brad Find the Time?

G) All of the Above

Posted in Econ & Money | 1 Comment

Pardon Our Weirdness

Safari users have been writing in droves (well, small droves) to tell me that the rendering is messed up. Please pardon any oddness in the next hour or two while I try to debug this. If the blog looks messed up, give me 10 minutes then reload….

PS if you're a safari user and things look good at any point, please let me know.

update: I give up (for now). I can't fix this without access to a Mac. It's just possible there's some weird code in one of today's posts and it will fix itself after midnight. If so, please let me know. Otherwise, it may be a few days before I can get to a Mac, especially if we go into 'hunker' mode due to Ivan. Sorry.

Posted in Discourse.net | 8 Comments

Looks Like Monday Will Be Spent at Home in the Dark

Hurricane IVAN

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON SEP 13 2004
LOCATION A B C D E
MIAMI FL X X 3 12 15

COLUMN DEFINITION
PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA

Posted in Miami | Comments Off on Looks Like Monday Will Be Spent at Home in the Dark