Nothing to See Here, Right?

That’s the New York times weekly chart with data as of Nov. 23.  I guess we’ll get a bigger one in a couple of days.  Some scientists — elitist alarmists in the grip of community delusion, no doubt — are predicting things will get worse before they get better.

Looks fairly dramatic to me, but of course I’m not a scientist.

The increase in cases has not been matched, yet, by as great an increase in deaths, although that number is also rising quickly.

I suspect this is because deaths lag cases by several weeks, and because treatment has improved. In addition, perhaps, a smaller fraction of the new cases are in the most vulnerable (e.g. elderly) population compared to the earlier peaks. But if the lag claim is correct, then expect the weekly deaths number to go up for some time before it goes down.

 

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