House Speaker John Boehner acts like he’s a customer at the Obama Emporium of Budget Plans. Shopper Boehner doesn’t like the wares he offered. “Bring me a better one,” he commands. Strangely, this is more or less how negotiations between the Obama administration and the GOP used to work. Now, however, the Obama people have reverted to claiming they want actual negotiations, the sort that requires both sides to have an actual opening bid. “Bring me a better one” will not do. Shopper Boehner, and the House GOP in general are finding this shift hard to cope with.
The conventional wisdom is that House Speaker John Boehner is weak. He can’t deliver his caucus, and he doesn’t really understand the budget; he appears to believe, for example, that the Ryan Budget adds up. Because he doesn’t command the loyalty of his caucus, and because he has an ambitious lieutenant just aching to put the shiv between his ribs, Speaker Boehner can’t discipline his troops either. For these reasons, I recently called Boehner the Yasser Arafat of the Republican Party. It wasn’t meant as a compliment.
President Obama has made Speaker Boehner and the GOP an offer on the budget, one much like Obama’s previous budget plan, and so far Obama is actually sticking to it rather than ‘negotiating with himself’ as Obama has done for the last four years. Instead of offering concession after concession for the GOP to pocket and demand more, Obama has asked Boehner’s caucus to please spell out their own demands. This, of course, the GOP is unable to do for a number of reasons: politically, it would require them to own the pain caused by the radical cuts they claim to want; logistically it would require them to assemble a budget proposal that adds up (which would be a first in recent memory); logically, it requires either consistency with the budget they campaigned on — thus either causing extreme pain or not adding up — or it requires violating their recent campaign pledges. (Best line on that: “I’m old enough to remember when Republicans insisted that anyone who said they wanted to cut Medicare was a demagogue, because I’m more than three weeks old.“) Lurking in the background is the pledge that matters more than anything said to the voters on the campaign trail, the one to Grover Norquist.
Today’s paper quotes Speaker Boehner as saying this:
“We’ve put a serious offer on the table by putting revenues up there to try to get this question resolved,” Mr. Boehner said on “Fox News Sunday.” “But the White House has responded with virtually nothing. They have actually asked for more revenue than they’ve been asking for the whole entire time.”
In fact however there is no Republican “offer” on the table at all — nothing with numbers attached that could be turned in to legislation. Rather, Shopper Boehner’s idea of an “offer” is to say that were Obama to come up with something that actually closed a tax loophole, Boehner might accept it.
The Administration spent the weekend trying to explain this GOP tactic to pundits and to the people, but I’m not sure how good a job they did of it.
It may take a while for Shopper Boehner to grasp that the budget negotiation task requires Speaker Boehner. Right now I imagine Shopper Boehner thinks he is at the tailors. Someone brings out a suit. Shopper Boehner shakes his head, doesn’t even try it on, says he wants something nicer but he won’t pay much more for it. If you’re a customer and times are tough, maybe you can talk like that. If you are are a national leader trying to hammer out a budget while the economy is still on life support, not so much. You have to make a counter-proposal, and it actually has to have some substance. Even so, given the past four years, it is understandable why Shopper Boehner might think that if he continues being imperious then that nice tailor fellow will be right back out with fabrics drawn from the private stash.
Underlining the kabuki nature of the whole budget ‘negotiation’ are three other aspects: (1) The GOP has no intention of resolving the debt ceiling on a long-term basis: that’s it’s best hostage and the more it can extort for it more often, the better; (2) both sides have boxed taken the Pentagon’s budget off the table even though that is where most cuts should be coming from; (3) political momentum suggests strongly that at least a partial deal will be easier after January 1. Come the new year, the Bush tax cuts expire on their own. At that point, if the GOP wants to pass Obama’s versions of ‘tax cuts for the 98%’ it will no longer, as a formalist matter, involve ‘raising’ taxes for the top 2% since those will have gone up by themselves. While this might not please the GOP’s paymasters, it will at least allow the Republicans to claim with a straight face that their Norquist purity remains.
PS. Can someone explain to me how it can be that the Obama tax bill originated in the Senate? Art. I, sec. 7 of the US Constitution says,
All bills for raising Revenue shall originate in the House of Representatives; but the Senate may propose or concur with Amendments as on other Bills.
Doesn’t that make the Senate tax bill invalid? Or is it that tax cuts are immune from the rule since they lower, not raise, revenue? Or is the plan to re-pass the no doubt amended version in the Senate after the House votes?
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Regarding PS: I believe the general method is for the Senate to take a House bill that they’ve received and amend it by deleting all the text and replacing it with their budget proposal, then send it back to the House to be accepted/amended.
As Dave says: They simply cheat, and tack an old HR number on a Senate originated bill, and pretend that means it originated in the House.
Kind of like making your Chevette into a Mercedes by pop-riveting on a VIN tag you pried off a wreck in the junk yard. The bills don’t really comply with the origination clause, but it’s enough to provide the courts with an excuse to look the other way.
You STILL don’t get it!
This ENTIRE exercise is just political. Nothing more, nothing less. neither side has any real reason to do ANYTHING about this because it’s not in their best interest. What’s in their best interest? We just saw it: Getting elected and staying elected.
It’s not about the country, or the economy, or helping anyone for help’s sake. It IS and always HAS BEEN about doing whatever needs to be done to obtain and retain office. The GOP doesn’t care about tax cuts for the “rich.” Hell most of them are Democrats and most voted for Obama anyway. What they CARE about is not taxing themselves out of office – and they depend upon the political machine run by millionaires (Murphy, et al). The Republicans are no different than the Democrats when it comes to politics. They all just posture as needed so that the money keeps flowing in.
Seriously, how can you have seen the last election and not noticed the open corruption? Districts in swing states with absurd results that nobody important questions. The result both sides wanted came about: A gridlocked and posturing Congress with a do-nothing president. PERFECT for those who make money off that state of affairs. (If you think that can’t be true, then ask yourself why when Congress and the Presidency was strongly Democratic with super-majorities, nothing important was done?) Wake up Michael.
I have really turned into a cynic these days, but how can anyone not be? Every single one of these people needs to be tossed out of office and forced to explain to their constituencies why they deserve to be allowed back. If they can’t, then replace them with random Hollywood celebrities until the American people start taking their role in elections seriously again.