Monthly Archives: October 2005

Wilma Aftermath: Suspended Animation, Active Worries

We’re fine, but we’re in a sort of suspended animation. There’s power three or fewer blocks in every direction, and even for one or two houses on my street. But the rest of us are left in limbo, watching food and gas supplies dwindle.

FP&L, the local power company, has promised that all those of who live in Miami-Dade north of Kendall Drive (the group I’m in) will have power by … November 22. Yes, by Thanksgiving.

Meanwhile, although there is apparently no shortage of gasoline, there is a very great shortage of gas stations with power. And without power they cannot pump the gasoline. Knowing that our pre-hurricane hoard of gas — which runs the generator which keeps the fridge going — was due to run out Wednesday night, I went off in search of gas Wednesday morning. All I found was gas lines. The first one was short, but only because it was a flash crowd; there was in fact no gas being pumped. The second one was ten blocks long. The third was almost as long, and the station had run out but expected a new delivery ‘soon’. The fourth was again ten blocks or more. I gave up and went home. By Wednesday night, an hour before curfew (curfew runs from 8pm to 6am), the line at the closest station was only about fifty cars, and took maybe forty minutes; I got home with minutes to spare. But I got my twenty gallons, and I’m good to go for another three days or so. I expect that by the next time I need gas, there will be a lot more stations open so the lines will be shorter.

A more pressing problem may be food, although risk-averse legal types that we are, we have several days worth of pasta, rice and the like, even after we finish eating the frozen stuff. Most of the local stores are running on generators and selling mostly dry goods at present. It would be nice to find a source of milk and bread, but I can’t complain compared to many. Plus the Miami Herald reports that FP&L will be prioritizing stores starting today, now that they’ve gotten the hospitals and other first responders sorted out. (A longer-run problem may be laundry; but I’m sure there must be a host of machines somewhere in the student dorms.)

The schools claim that they will reopen Monday, and that is the university’s current plan as well. The remaining issues are whether the roads will be sufficiently clear, enough traffic lights will be working to make the journey safe, and especially whether gas supplies will be plentiful enough to allow people to commute.

It also seems as if the weather, which has been unseasonably dry and cool — the mid-70s — will revert to normal, starting Friday, and climb to the mid-80s. Plus it will rain a lot, topping up the humidity. So it’s going to get much more unpleasant in the house, and the fridge will have to work harder, making greater demands on the gas supply.

In fact everything is fine, and our discomforts are in the grand scale of things quite minor. But it is surprising how much time coping requires.

Posted in Personal | 1 Comment

Wilma Aftermath: Deja Vu All Over Again

Trees down everywhere. Several side streets blocked by trunks. Most houses in the neighborhood lost at least some roof tiles, but no one near us appears to have major damage. Power has been restored east, west, north and south of us — but not to the few streets surrounding me.

It was a ferocious storm, and we didn’t even get the worst of it — that was probably in Broward, one county north of us. From about 7am to 10am yesterday, we could every so often hear a tile being ripped off our roof, often ricocheting from the top floor down to the overhanging roof below (and doing more damage). It was all too easy to imagine the roof being peeled off, Hurricane Andrew style, if things got worse. It’s very hard to describe the sound of your roof being dismantled by a storm. Something between an angry giant flicking at it, and near-misses by something a bit more powerful than small arms. In retrospect, the house held up fine, but as this was the first serious test of our new roof post-remodeling, during the event we were more than ordinarily stressed out of our minds.

In the bright light of day, our damage is no worse than many other people’s (whether, with a brand new roof it should be less is a question I don’t know how to answer yet). And the weather is nice and cool today, so we don’t have the sweltering problem we had the last time the power was out for days, plus the generator runs longer on a tank of gas since the fridge has less work to do.

I’m writing this from the office – which has power – but don’t expect much more from me until things get closer to normal.

Posted in Personal | 5 Comments

Wilma Update

Michael and his family are fine, but they lost power early this morning. So no blogging for now. The phone works: “We’re watching the storm go by,” Michael tells me. “It’s very blustery out there.”

Posted in Personal | 6 Comments

We Still Can’t Trust The FBI

It seems clear from the FBI’s own internal reports that the its agents have not changed enough since the Hoover days. And that’s a great shame, and a big problem.

The FBI has important jobs to do — perhaps, in the GW Bush world of growing numbers of people motivated to hate us, more important jobs than ever. But given the amount of power we entrust to the FBI, when its agents break the rules they become particularly dangerous.

We are not talking about the occasional minor paperwork snafu here: what we seem to be facing (again) is a pattern and practice of ignoring the rules.

FBI Papers Indicate Intelligence Violations: The FBI has conducted clandestine surveillance on some U.S. residents for as long as 18 months at a time without proper paperwork or oversight, according to previously classified documents to be released today.

Records turned over as part of a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit also indicate that the FBI has investigated hundreds of potential violations related to its use of secret surveillance operations, which have been stepped up dramatically since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks but are largely hidden from public view.

In one case, FBI agents kept an unidentified target under surveillance for at least five years — including more than 15 months without notifying Justice Department lawyers after the subject had moved from New York to Detroit. An FBI investigation concluded that the delay was a violation of Justice guidelines and prevented the department “from exercising its responsibility for oversight and approval of an ongoing foreign counterintelligence investigation of a U.S. person.”

Kudos to my friends at EPIC for getting the goods. And kudos to the honest people in the FBI who didn’t sweep these violations under the rug. The trouble is…given the extent of the violations we are now learning about, one has to wonder how many others never even got written up.

The documents provided to EPIC focus on 13 cases from 2002 to 2004 that were referred to the Intelligence Oversight Board, an arm of the President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board that is charged with examining violations of the laws and directives governing clandestine surveillance. Case numbers on the documents indicate that a minimum of 287 potential violations were identified by the FBI during those three years, but the actual number is certainly higher because the records are incomplete.

… in a letter to be sent today to the Senate Judiciary Committee, Sobel and other EPIC officials argue that the documents show how little Congress and the public know about the use of clandestine surveillance by the FBI and other agencies. The group advocates legislation requiring the attorney general to report violations to the Senate.

The documents, EPIC writes, “suggest that there may be at least thirteen instances of unlawful intelligence investigations that were never disclosed to Congress.”

I’d write more, but I have a hurricane to cower from.

Posted in Law: Criminal Law | 4 Comments

Waiting for Wilma: Category 3 Now, Category 2 Tomorrow

I suppose this (Wilma Advisory #35) is what the folks at RSMAS knew was coming:

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH…185 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS …AND WILMA WILL LIKELY MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA… BUT THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO STILL BE A SIGNIFICANT CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BY THE TIME THE CENTER REACHES THE FLORIDA EAST COAST EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM… FROM THE CENTER…

[…]

THE TORNADO THREAT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA … AND THE FLORIDA KEYS… HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

So someone, somewhere is going to get battered. Here, it could be ok, it could be inconvenient for several days, it could be worse than that….

Mind you, at present it’s not raining here just south of Miami, and only a bit gusty. Well, actually, quite gusty…

Posted in Miami | 1 Comment

Waiting for Wilma: Tuesday is Canceled Too

Fresh into my in-box:

University of Miami Closed Monday and Tuesday

The University of Miami is closed Monday and Tuesday, October 24 and 25. All classes, clinical activities, and events are canceled for Monday. All classes and events are canceled for Tuesday; however, a decision on Tuesday’s clinical activities at the UM medical campus will be announced on Monday at 2 p.m.

The people making these decisions for the University consult with the weather experts at RSMAS. (RSMAS is widely acknowledged to be one of the few, perhaps the only, world-class faculties on campus; I’ve heard people elsewhere say the oceanography parts of it are #1 or #2 in the world.) That the University is willing to make this decision so far in advance is not cheerful.

From a selfish point of view, and assuming we make it through Wilma in the same number of pieces we are now, it means a lot of make-up classes in a decreasingly short period, which cannot be good for my students’ understanding of the material.

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