Mark my words, fifty years from now, Gitmo will be at the top of the list of things the Texas Board of Education wants banned from students’ history books.
— Opinio Juris » Dead Gitmo Detainee Cleared for Release Three Years Ago.
Mark my words, fifty years from now, Gitmo will be at the top of the list of things the Texas Board of Education wants banned from students’ history books.
— Opinio Juris » Dead Gitmo Detainee Cleared for Release Three Years Ago.
#Romneyfail: Yesterday I received my first piece of direct mail from the Romney campaign. As a long-time registered Democrat, I’m probably not high on their lists of target demographics, but presumably Team Romney has nearly unlimited money, and they have to win Florida.
Under the circumstances, I would expect something considerably more impressive than this rather limp and hard-to-read bifold. I’ve uploaded a scan of all four pages of the Romeny direct mail piece for those who want to see just how hard it was to read the white letters on the dark background (never a good idea IMHO), but for now I want to concentrate on just the cover image, the one to the right of this post.
A hand in the cookie jar. No doubt the idea is to sell the Republican idea of Democratic budgetary fecklessness. But I think the ad misfires on two fronts. First, this week it’s Paul Ryan who seems to have his hand in the cookie jar — both for cooking the books on this budget plan. To be fair, given the supine history of our press, Team Romney could be excused for failing to predict that arithmetic gravity would catch up with Paul Ryan, so let’s go to the other, more subtle but also more fatal way in which this ad fails.
See that hand? To me it looks like a white hand. The arm is ambiguously dark, but I at least saw it as white and shaded. The message it sends in this election when associated with an electoral mailer is that it’s Romney’s hand in the cookie jar. I don’t know if the designers of this ad even flirted with the idea of a black(er) limb, but at some point they’d stray too far into the ‘playing the race card’ territory. It would have been much smarter to use a different image.
And if you struggle through the very-hard-to-read white text on page three looking for substance of what Romney would do, it’s pretty thin gruel:
I thought Team Romney was supposed to be good at management? This is not even Bush-league: both GW & GHW did it a lot better.
What people have not been talking about enough is that the Ryan budget contains an $897 billion sinkhole: massive but unexplained cuts in such discretionary domestic programs as education, food and drug inspection, workplace safety, environmental protection and law enforcement.
The scope of the cuts – stunning in their breadth — is hidden. To find the numbers, turn to page 16 of the Concurrent Resolution on the Budget – Fiscal Year 2013. In Table 2, Fiscal Year 2013 Budget Resolution Discretionary Spending, in the far right hand column, you’ll see the nearly $897 billion figure, which appears on the line marked “BA” for Budget Authority under Allowances (920) as $896,884 (because these figures are listed in millions of dollars).
It goes on to give the clearest explanation of why the Ryan budget is either hokum, or else would mean cuts drastic beyond anyone but a Ron Paul supporter’s dreams:
Under the Ryan budget, “Mandatory and Defense and Nondefense Discretionary Spending” – which includes Function 920 Allowances, but excludes Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid — would fall from 12.5 percent of Gross Domestic Product in 2011 to 6.75 percent in 2023, 5.75 percent in 2030, 4.75 percent in 2040 and 3.75 percent in 2050, according to an analysis by the Congressional Budget Office.
The C.B.O. cautiously notes how difficult it would be to cut such spending to 3.75 percent of G.D.P.:
By comparison, spending in this category has exceeded 8 percent of G.D.P. in every year since World War II. Spending for defense alone has not been lower than 3 percent of G.D.P. in any year during that period.
My question is this: what is this analysis doing in the Opinion section? It sounds suspiciously like arithmetic. Is arithmetic relegated to “opinion” now that one party no longer believes in it?
Image © 2006 Brian Stansberry Some rights reserved.
His office says his concern is purely jurisdictional, and has nothing to do with blocking the ascension of the first black Chief Justice in Louisiana. I suppose it might even be true; if one characterizes the issue as an interpretation of the state Constitution, it would be strange to have a federal court get the final say. But if one characterizes it as an interpretation of the federal consent decree, it doesn’t seem strange at all.
That’s what the Florida state legislature has served up for the public’s degustation on the ballot this November. Some of these proposed amendments to the Florida State Constitution could seriously damage the state for years to come. Others are pretty naked attempts to whip up the Republican base and get them to the polls in November.
Below I offer you links to the full text of the Amendments, and grade them on a 10 point scale for (Ir)Rationality, Evil, and Pandering. Points are bad.
Florida Amendment 1 – Health Care Services is a meaningless gesture of attempted state nullification of the mandate rule found in the federal Affordable Care Act (ACA). But if the ACA were ever repealed, the amendment would prohibit Florida from enacting Romneycare here.
Florida Amendment 2 – Veterans Disabled Due To Combat Injury; Homestead Property Tax Discount This amendment increases the homestead exemption for disabled veterans.
Florida Amendment 3 – State Government Revenue Limitation. This is a ‘starve the beast‘ amendment targeted at the state budget. It stops the Florida budget from growing faster than population increases plus inflation — regardless of what our needs might be, and working from the current severely deflated spending base.
Florida Amendment 4 – Property Tax Limitations; Property Value Decline; Reduction For Nonhomestead Assessment Increases; Delay Of Scheduled Repeal. This is another ‘starve the beast’ amendment, but targeted at local governments. This one cuts the rate at which assessments on real property can increase from the current cap of 10% per year to 5% per year. It also gives a bonus homestead exemption to so-called first-time home buyers but actually defines the group more broadly to include anyone who hasn’t owned a homestead property in Florida during the last three years. And there are other complex provisions designed to keep ratable value from rising to reflect the true value of homes. Florida Trend says Amendment 4 would cost local governments up to $600 million per year, money that in my opinion they would have no realistic hope of replacing. Which is undoubtedly the point. There is of course nothing in here about what should be cut, what will have to be cut, or alternate revenue sources.
Florida Amendment 5 – State Courts. This is a mix of good and bad, with the bad greatly predominating. It gives the Senate the power to confirm Gubernatorial appointments to the Florida Supreme Court (I’d say that’s good, however the chips may fall). But it also gives the legislature the power to repeal court rules by a simple majority instead of the current two thirds (I’d say that’s bad). It prevents the Supreme Court from re-adopting a rule rejected twice by the legislature (I can see both sides of this, but on balance don’t think I like it). It changes the way the legislature can tinker with the Judicial Qualifications Commission’s rules to increase legislative power (clearly bad). Makes legislative witch hunts against Justices easier by increasing the House Speaker’s access to the Judicial Qualifications Commission’s files (very bad).
Florida Amendment 6 – Prohibition On Public Funding Of Abortions; Construction Of Abortion Rights. There is at present no public funding of abortions, so this is another amendment whose main feature doesn’t actually change anything. This amendment would, however, entrench current policy against future popular majorities. Worse, by exempting abortions from the Florida Constitution’s privacy clause, the amendment would allow the legislature to enact a parental consent law twice held unconstitutional by the the Florida Supreme Court.
Florida Amendment 7 – There is no longer an Amendment 7, as it fell by the wayside, making it feel like one of the best of the proposed Constitutional Amendments simply by virtue of not being on the ballot.
Florida Amendment 8 – Religious Freedom. The key words here are “deleting the prohibition against using revenues from the public treasury directly or indirectly in aid of any church, sect, or religious denomination or in aid of any sectarian institution.” In other words, let’s undermine the separation between church and state — in particular let’s subsidize religious schools. (Will anyone campaign against this by pointing out that the state will have to offer subsidies to Islamic schools — Madrassas! — too? Probably not.)
Florida Amendment 9 – Homestead Property Tax Exemption For Surviving Spouse of Military Veteran or First Responder. Much like Amendment 2: with a somewhat larger but still arbitrary class of beneficiaries.
Florida Amendment 10 – Tangible Personal Property Tax Exemption. This would prevent counties, municipalities, school districts, and other local governments from taxing “tangible personal property” with a total assessed value over $25,000 but less than $50,000. This is a tax break for small businesses that are required to pay local taxes on computers and other equipment. Florida Trend says about 150,000 businesses would benefit from doubling the current $25K cap, and local governments would lose $20+ million per year.
Florida Amendment 11 – Additional Homestead Exemption; Low-Income Seniors Who Maintain Long-Term Residency On Property; Equal To Assessed Value. This one would allow the Legislature to “allow counties and municipalities to grant an additional homestead tax exemption equal to the assessed value of homestead property if the property has a just value less than $250,000 to an owner who has maintained permanent residency on the property for not less than 25 years, who has attained age 65, and who has a low household income as defined by general law.”
Florida Amendment 12 – Appointment Of Student Body President To Board Of Governors Of The State University System. Currently students at FSU are cut out from participating in the selection of the student member of the Board of Governors of Florida’s State University System because FSU isn’t a member of the Florida Student Association, whose president has served ex offico. This amendment fixes the FSU problem, but at the price of cutting out the current intermediary, the Florida Student Association, entirely. Instead, the Board of Governors will have to set up a new body to serve as the intermediary that picks the student representative. While enfranchising FSU seems like a no-brainer, neither the prospect of duplication of functions nor the prospect of a standalone body whose sole function is to elect one of its own to be the Board member is particularly appealing. I suspect this will not enhance student representation.
Campaign Event with President Bill Clinton Date: Tuesday, September 11, 2012
Doors open at 5:30p.m.
Location: Florida International University –
US Century Bank Arena
11200 SW 8th Street, Miami, FL 33199How to Get Tickets:
Click on the link: http://fl.barackobama.com/President-Clinton-in-MiamiTickets are FREE and required for entry, with one ticket per person.
Tickets are first come, first served, so get yours NOW!OFA Locations to pick up tickets:
OFA Office (Hialeah) – 419 W 49th Street, Suite 105, Hialeah, FL 33012
OFA Office (Pinecrest) – 11315 South Dixie Highway, Pinecrest, FL 33156
Information via email from Miami-Dade Democratic Party.
(I can’t go – it’s back-to-school night.)