Author Archives: Michael Froomkin

California Dreams. Not Pretty Ones.

Here's the problem. I don't think Wayne Madsen is a nut. I’ve met Wayne a few times over the years at privacy-oriented events. He’s sometimes rumpled, often a little intense, has a spook-like love for conspiracy theory (forgivable since he is a sometime spook himself). He’s definitely out there on the fringe where left meets right, and we’re not always on the same page politically, but I have found him to be very well informed.

So what to make of his latest effort, Terrorism and the Election: California is the Target!? Wayne, like the best intelligence analysts, has an eye for a threat model. But to take this one seriously, well, the cynicism being alleged is immense…

Here’s the scenario we must be all be prepared for:

If the pre-election internal tracking polls and public opinion polls show the Kerry-Edwards ticket leading in key battleground states, the Bush team will begin to implement their plan to announce an imminent terrorist alert for the West Coast for November 2 sometime during the mid afternoon Pacific Standard Time. At 2:00 PST, the polls in Kentucky and Indiana will be one hour from closing (5:00 PM EST – the polls close in Indiana and Kentucky at 6:00 PM EST). Exit polls in both states will be known to the Bush people by that time and if Kentucky (not likely Indiana) looks too close to call or leaning to Kerry-Edwards, the California plan will be implemented. A Bush problem in Kentucky at 6:00 PM EST would mean that problems could be expected in neighboring states and that plans to declare a state of emergency in California would begin in earnest at 3:00 PM PST.

The U.S. Northern Command, which has military jurisdiction over the United States, will, along with the Department of Homeland Security and Schwarzenegger’s police and homeland security officials in Sacramento, declare an “imminent” terrorist threat – a RED ALERT — affecting California’s major urban areas.

Although the polls in California will not be closed as a result of the declaration, the panic that sets in and the early rush hour will clog major traffic arteries and change the plans of many voters to cast their ballot after work.

That terrorist emergency declaration could be made around 5:00 PM PST and with only three hours left for voting throughout the state, a number of working class voters in urban centers will either be caught up in California’s infamous freeway traffic and be too late to get to their polling places or be more concerned about their families and avoid voting altogether.

In most cases I'd dismiss this as 200 proof tinfoil hat stuff and forget it. But I know this guy. Yes, he's over-alarmist sometimes. But sometimes he's right. And he's talking about the guys with the very suspiciously timed press conferences announcing vague terrorist threats.

Even so, can't helping thinking that at least here in Florida we have more to worry about old-fashioned, low-tech means of stuffing the ballot box now that Jeb Bush has forced through a law that allows unlimited unwitnessed absentee ballots.

(Note: If Marsden is too much for you, try fiore, which is sorta the same idea, but funny.)

Posted in Politics: US: 2004 Election | 8 Comments

Paging Lt. Kafka

It came via “Yuks,” a jokes mailing list run by Gene Spafford, so at first I didn't think it was for real:

It appears that the US navy spokesman put up to answer journalists' questions about the US detention centre at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, is one Lieutenant Mike Kafka. As the article on The Register (www.theregister.co.uk) observes: “Yes, you're reading that correctly. A man named Kafka has been deployed to field questions about a prison where the criminals are only vaguely charged with crimes, can't speak to lawyers and likely will never get out.” Any resemblance this reality bears to an actual fiction is entirely coincidental.

But it's true. (The item is worth reading by the way for its account of how Photoshop got deployed at Guantanamo.)

Posted in Guantanamo | 3 Comments

I Want This

I need one of these.

Wishlist: the million monkeys at a million typewriters plugin | A Whole Lotta Nothing: I want a MT plugin that will let a select group of my closest, most trusted friends correct typos in text and URLs on my blog posts and republish their changes without my intervention. …

Ideally, I'd like an easy way to say that 4 or 5 people I trust could make edits. And I suppose the edits should be checked before and after, with a certain byte count limit, lest you allow your friends to completely rewrite your post. An email telling me what took place would be nice, but I'd like my friends to go ahead and save their changes, with a way for me to rescue the earlier pre-edit entry just in case.

Actually, maybe it wouldn't be such a bad idea to allow anyone to suggest an edit on the post, sending me an email, with a one-click way to approve or disapprove it. Maybe after a random stranger has properly corrected me half a dozen times, I could elevate their status to having republish rights on the edits so I wouldn't have to approve them anymore.

A plugin like this would basically wiki-ize the weblog world, allowing readers to participate and correct small mistakes.

Yes, please! (spotted via Boing Boing)

Posted in Discourse.net | Comments Off on I Want This

We Are So Cosmopolitan

The BBC reports that the UN says Miami has the largest foreign-born population of any city in the world.

Some 59% of people in the city were not born in the US, the UN Development Programme report said.

…Toronto had the second-highest proportion of foreign-born citizens (44%), while Los Angeles was a close third with 41%.

Another two North American cities – Canada's Vancouver (37%) and New York (36%) – made it into the top five, the report said.

Outside North America, the town-state of Singapore scored highest (33%), followed by Australia's Sydney (31%), Abidjan (30%) in Ivory Coast, London (28%) and Paris (23%).

Plus we've got Shaq. But he was born in Newark.

Posted in Miami | 4 Comments

When ‘Security Theater’ Makes (Perverse) Sense

Bruce Schneier's latest Cryptogram has a thought-provoking story:

The other week I visited the corporate headquarters of a large financial institution on Wall Street; let's call them FinCorp. FinCorp had pretty elaborate building security. Everyone — employees and visitors — had to have their bags X-rayed.

Seemed silly to me, but I played along. There was a single guard watching the X-ray machine's monitor, and a line of people putting their bags onto the machine. The people themselves weren't searched at all. Even worse, no guard was watching the people. So when I walked with everyone else in line and just didn't put my bag onto the machine, no one noticed.

It was all good fun, and I very much enjoyed describing this to FinCorp's VP of Corporate Security. He explained to me that he got a $5 million rate reduction from his insurance company by installing that X-ray machine and having some dogs sniff around the building a couple of times a week.

I thought the building's security was a waste of money. It was actually a source of corporate profit.

The point of this story is one that I've made in “Beyond Fear” and many other places: security decisions are often made for non-security reasons. When you encounter a security risk that people worry about inordinately, a security countermeasure that doesn't counter the threat, or any security decision that makes no sense, you need to understand more of the context behind the decision. What is the agenda of the person who made the decision? What are the non-security considerations around the decision? Security decisions make sense, as long as you understand them properly.

There's loads more good stuff in Bruce's latest newsletter by the way.

Posted in National Security | 2 Comments

CAPPS II Dead or UnDead?

MSNBC says that the TSA is hinting hard that CAPPS II is dead. Except when it isn't:

Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge said officials had all but scrapped plans for the controversial Computer Assisted Passenger Prescreening System, known as CAPPS II, which has come under criticism from privacy advocates and some members of Congress.

Asked whether the program could be considered dead, Ridge jokingly gestured as if he were driving a stake through its head and said: “Yes,” USA Today reported.

Sounds good, right? Except this is just like when they killed the Poindexter TIA program: (but really didn't1):

Ridge said a new program with a different name might be developed to replace CAPPS II. It could be replaced by a new “registered traveler” program if enough people volunteer to provide personal information, the report said.

So Registered Traveller + secret program to be (not) announced = CAPPS III. Oh joy.

Meanwhile, it will be interesting to see if the government argues that Frontier Travel v. TSA is now moot.


1 When the program went 'black' they just stopped worrying about privacy:

“But when the Information Awareness Office was disbanded and the work on many parts of TIA—which is ongoing—became classified, the privacy work stopped, Poindexter said.

“The privacy work was part of what was cancelled,” he said. “But I think it should continue. And I think that eventually it will be continued. I'm an optimist.”

Posted in Law: Right to Travel | 1 Comment