Miami will be closed Tuesday and Wednesday.
No, not just the public schools and the university, although we’re closed for two days. Pretty much the whole town.
And the joke is that
- the Ernesto forecast has (for now) been demoted to a tropical storm until it gets to points far north of us and
- the storm has slowed a bit: even on the original track it wasn’t supposed to hit until late Tuesday afternoon.
Now we’re looking at very late Tuesday or even early Wednesday. And possibly an anti-climax at that. When they close the public schools, pretty much everybody falls into line; and planners are undoubtedly still smarting from their failure to close early for one of last year’s hurricanes which meant that a lot of commuters struggled home in dangerous weather. So now we’re very very cautious.
False alarms are nowhere as bad as the real thing, but I find that the irregular procession of even false alarms take their toll — there’s something very … distracting … about the real possibility of slowly oncoming doom, even when it starts seeming somewhat less likely. And those makeup classes are a pain for all concerned.
Yesterday I had a chance to stock up on gasoline for our generator with almost no lines, but didn’t — and the storm track moved over Miami a few hours later. Today I stocked up on gas (the line wasn’t that bad, maybe 10-15 minutes) and within minutes of coming home with the goods learned that Ernesto was being downgraded.
I believe this constitutes the basis for a testable hypothesis.