Author Archives: Michael Froomkin

Plenty of Blame to Go Around (IV)

Some of the commentators on this blog have been repeating the GOP talking point that the Mayor of New Orleans didn’t order an evacuation until after GW Bush pleaded with him to do so. Not only is this false, but people pushing this line should beware the logical nutcracker of Daily Kos: Where Turd Blossom Goes, A Talking Point Blooms. It turns out that this talking point has a real sting in the tail:

Following the lie, however, we see that in order to even argue the point, you have to agree with a whole litany of other points:

  • That President Bush himself, as well as presumably his entire team, knew full well that Katrina was a devastating storm requiring mass evacuations in front of it, and one which would wreak catastrophic damage.
  • And yet President Bush, and the rest of his cabinet, remained on vacation while they knew that.
  • And yet FEMA was utterly unprepared, apparently, to offer assistance for it.
  • And yet Homeland Security did, apparently, nothing to ensure FEMA was prepared to offer assistance for it.
  • And yet in spite of apparently knowing the danger to New Orleans in specific, both the President and the administrator of FEMA were completely unaware that anyone had “foreseen” that the levees would fail — and apparently was only monitoring the levee condition via newspaper headlines.
  • And yet, in the days following the storm, the FEMA director insisted that he wasn’t even aware 15,000 evacuees had fled to the New Orleans convention center, a designated shelter area, until he was told by reporters.
  • And yet, FEMA continued to reject assistance and turn rescuers away during the most critical days after the storm.

So for the sake of argument, fine: let’s grant the central premise the White House was following the dangerous progress of Katrina well in advance, and urged evacuations. Let’s grant the premise that they were “ready” for this storm, according to the standards that Bush set for himself. On vacation. While receiving ceremonial guitars.

Does that make the now-universally-recognized-as-inadequate administration response better? Or spectacularly worse?

[Just to be clear: I am NOT saying that this settles the question of whether the evacuation was tardy (in hindsight it certainly seems to have been) or well-executed (it wasn’t), and most certainly not that it was well-planned. ]

Incidentally, the suggestion in some the comments that the feds had tons of resources ready to go just sitting there on hair trigger notice, waiting only for the incompetent local officials to request them before they would instantly pour in is also ludicrously at odds with reality as reported by any reputable news source with which I am familiar. But I look forward to the report of a fair and independent inquiry to sort truth from fiction.

Posted in Unspeakably Awful (Katrina) | 1 Comment

The Things Friends Do

Eric Muller volunteers me for a new gig. Actually, in the unlikely event anyone was listening, it might be fun…

Posted in Blogs | 2 Comments

Rita Update

Ok, so from time to time there’s a serious squall. There was a lot of wind, but not much blew down that I can see from inside the house; presumably Katrina got the most vulnerable vegetation. It’s gloomy out. On the radio it sounds as if it’s considerably worse in the Keys; parts of US 1 between here and Key West were at least temporarily under water.

It might have been hazardous for people to commute to work this morning, but otherwise it’s a gloomy, seriously stormy, day.

In other words, anticlimax. As it always is when I actually get supplies in. Post hoc ergo propter hoc, eh?

Posted in Miami | Comments Off on Rita Update

Spontaneous Generation Observed in Nature

Posted in Unspeakably Awful (Katrina) | 1 Comment

Your Tax Dollars At Work

One to Two Billion Dollars Missing at Iraqi Ministry of Defense.

Just think of it as prequel to the Hurricane Katrina reconstruction. After all, it’s being run under the supervision of the same people.

Posted in Iraq | 3 Comments

Batten Down the Hatches, Rita’s Coming

We’re in full hurricane panic mode now, even though there’s as yet no hurricane (just a tropical storm):

In light of Tropical Storm Rita, the University, including the law school, will be CLOSED as of noon today, Monday, September 19th. We will remain closed tomorrow, Tuesday. The library will close at 2:00 p.m. today and will remain closed tomorrow. All events scheduled for this afternoon and tomorrow are cancelled.

Information regarding the Law School’s status, including regarding the resumption of classes on Wednesday, will be available from the following sources which are regularly updated:

The Law School’s Website and the University’s Website

305-284-4551 (Dean of Student’s – recorded message – for messages after the school closes)

305-284-5151 (UM Hotline recorded message)

We have no reason to believe that classes will not resume on Wednesday, but you should check these sources of information for updated information.

Basically, everyone is overcompensating for being suckered last time.

One slightly worrying thing, though: there’s still a lot of debris around from Hurricane Katrina. Even a mere tropical storm could pick that stuff up and fly it about which might cause damage.

I taught my class this morning then, ironically, I met with some students who are visiting here from New Orleans in order to fill them in on the key points from the classes we had held before they joined us. After that it was off to the grocery store as we’d been too busy this weekend to do our usual weekly shop. While I was pulling into lot — and waiting for a space since it was entirely full — I heard them upgrade Miami-Dade county from a hurricane watch to a hurricane warning. The TV fluffheads on the radio segued right into their WERE ALL GOING TO DIE mode, leavened by JUST DO EVERYTHING WE SAY AND YOU’LL BE OK.

Two hours later I had food, about the same amount as I usually buy, but not water, that was basically gone except the expensive stuff. No way I’m buying a case of San Pelligrino to sit out a storm. But no worry, we have a nice big blue plastic jerry can we can fill.

Then it was off to the gas station to queue and refill the gas containers that will power my generator and keep the food fresh if the power goes.

Last time, before Katrina, for the first time in a decade I didn’t prepare — and we got beat up. At the risk of jinxing the Fates, I have to say that this wobbly track still seems to be mostly south of us; more important, though, is when the strengthening is expected:

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE CONTINUING TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR STRENGTHENING…AND ALL FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS RITA SHOULD INTENSIFY SOME MORE…BEFORE AND AFTER IT REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS ADJUSTED UPWARD AND IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE THROUGH DAY 3…AND SHOWS RITA REACHING CATEGORY TWO STATUS BEFORE REACHING THE GULF OF MEXICO. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY IT COULD STRENGTHEN FASTER THAN FORECAST. ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT RITA WILL BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.

(I wish they wouldn’t use all capitals…) Odds are we will be spared; but it’s not inevitable. It does sound bad for the Keys, though, and even worse for where it goes after it hits the Gulf.

Posted in Miami | 1 Comment